Russia Retaliation Begins – Ferocious Bombings and Cruise Missile Attacks Ongoing
Russia HAS begun retaliating for the death of its downed pilot by engaging in ferocious attacks of Syrian Rebels along the border with Turkey. Dozens of aircraft and cruise missiles inbound right now. IT is a ferocious onslaught!
In Syria, just across the border from Turkey, is a group of people who refer to themselves as “Turkmen.” They are an ethnic minority in Syria, but have been there for ages.
Who are the Turkmen?
Turkmen (not to be confused with people from Turkmenistan) are spread across several Middle Eastern countries but are mostly concentrated in Syria and Iraq. Their total population is thought to range from 1.5 to 3.5 million, though reliable estimates are hard to come by. Of those, somewhere in the range of 100,000 to 200,000 likely live in Syria, mostly in the country’s north near the Turkish border.
The Turkmen arrived in what’s now Syria centuries ago, as various different Turkic empires — first the Seljuks, then the Ottomans — encouraged Turkish migration into the territory to counterbalance the local Arab majority. Under Bashar al-Assad’s rule, the mostly Sunni Muslim Turkmen in Syria were an oppressed minority, denied even the right to teach their own children in their own language (a Turkish dialect).
However, the Turkmen didn’t immediately join the anti-Assad uprising in 2011. Instead, they were goaded into it by both sides. Assad persecuted them, treating them as a potential conduit for Turkish involvement in the Syrian civil war. Turkey, a longtime enemy of Assad, encouraged the Turkmen to oppose him with force. Pushed in the same direction by two major powers, the Turkmen officially joined the armed opposition in 2012.
Since then, they’ve gotten deeply involved in the civil war, receiving significant amounts of military aid from Ankara. Their location has brought them into conflict with the Assad regime, ISIS, and even the Western-backed Kurdish rebels (whom Turkey sees as a threat given its longstanding struggle with its own Kurdish population). Today, the Syrian Turkmen Brigades — the dominant Turkmen military faction — boast as many as 10,000 fighters, per the BBC, though the real number could be much lower.
The Turkmen role in the conflict has put them directly in Russia’s crosshairs. The Russians, contrary to their stated goal of fighting ISIS, have directed most of their military efforts to helping Assad’s forces fight rebels. The Turkmen have clashed repeatedly with Assad and his allies in the north — which led to Russian planes targeting Turkmen militants last week.
Turkey was not happy, and called in the Russian ambassador to register its disapproval. “It was stressed that the Russian side’s actions were not a fight against terror, but they bombed civilian Turkmen villages and this could lead to serious consequences,” the Turkish foreign ministry said in a description of the meeting provided to Reuters.
And indeed, something “serious” happened Tuesday morning, when Turkish fighter planes shot down the Russian warplane. Turkey claimed the attack happened because the Russian plane violated its airspace, a claim that seems quite plausible. That might well be all that’s going on here.
But it’s also possible that the Turkish actions were influenced by Russia’s attack on the Turkmen. The Russian plane appeared to have been flying over Syrian Turkmen territory at one point. It’s possible that the Turks were, at least in part, attempting to send a message about Russian aggression in Turkmen territory.
“In recent days, thousands of civilians have fled over the border, saying they feared Russian bombing raids in support of regime forces in [a Turkmen-populated] area … the clash that led to the downing of the Russian jet today may be connected to that fighting,” Telegraph Middle East correspondents Louisa Loveluck and Richard Spencer write.
This would be consistent with what we’ve been hearing from Turkish officials recently. “Turkish media and officials have for weeks highlighted the plight of Syria’s small ethnic Turkmen population,” BuzzFeed’s Borzou Daragahi writes. One Turkish official, according to a report in Turkey’s Hurriyet newspaper, told Russian officials that “Turkey won’t be indifferent to attacks targeting the life security of Turkmen.”
Regardless of whether that was a motivating factor behind Turkey’s actions on Tuesday, one thing is for sure: The Turkmen are clearly a growing source of tension between Russia and Syria, making them yet another complication in Syria’s already-complicated civil war.